Dandenong Thunder SC vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
8º
47
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
4 - 2
DAN
58%
20%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
3 - 2
MCF
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 2
DAN
8%
13%
79%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 3
AVH
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 2
DAN
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
HUM
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
GRE
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 4
MEL
24%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
NGW
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AVH
3 - 0
MEL
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |