Dakota Fusion vs Minneapolis City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
76.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dakota Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
MEC
11 - 0
DAK
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
5 - 2
DAK
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
DAK
4 - 3
MIN
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
VSL
5 - 0
DAK
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
DAK
5 - 0
ARI
93%
5%
1%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Minneapolis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
MIN
4 - 2
DUL
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 1
VSL
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 0
MIN
4%
10%
87%
|
42 | 5 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 2
MIN
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
6 - 1
SFT
93%
6%
2%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |