A Lyga Round 26

Dainava vs Banga analysis

Dainava Banga
65 ELO 73
4% Tilt -3.2%
2194º General ELO ranking 1392º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.9%
Dainava
27.5%
Draw
36.6%
Banga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
Dainava
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.6%
Win probability
Banga
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dainava
-23%
-8%
Banga

Points and table prediction

Dainava
Their league position
Banga
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
10º
32
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kauno Žalgiris
57
63
100%
FC Hegelmann
50
53
91.5%
Sūduva
45
49
76%
Siauliai
43
46
75.5%
FK Panevėžys
38
41
40%
Zalgiris Vilnius
38
41
42%
Dziugas Telsiai
37
40
61%
Banga
32
35
94.5%
FK Riteriai
17
18
72%
Dainava
10º
15
16
10º
72%
Expected probabilities
Dainava
Banga
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
28% 0%
Relegation
72% 0%

ELO progression

Dainava
Banga
Zalgiris Vilnius
Sūduva
Dziugas Telsiai
Siauliai
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dainava
Dainava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2025
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
1 - 1
Dainava
DAI
66%
21%
14%
65 77 12 0
10 Aug. 2025
HLI
FC Hegelmann
0 - 1
Dainava
DAI
71%
18%
11%
64 77 13 +1
03 Aug. 2025
DAI
Dainava
2 - 2
Sūduva
SUD
24%
26%
50%
64 77 13 0
28 Jul. 2025
FAS
Siauliai
3 - 1
Dainava
DAI
65%
21%
14%
64 77 13 0
21 Jul. 2025
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
3 - 0
Dainava
DAI
63%
22%
15%
65 77 12 -1

Matches

Banga
Banga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2025
PAN
FK Panevėžys
1 - 0
Banga
BAN
48%
27%
25%
73 77 4 0
17 Aug. 2025
SUD
Sūduva
2 - 1
Banga
BAN
41%
30%
30%
73 77 4 0
13 Aug. 2025
BAN
Banga
0 - 1
FC Hegelmann
HLI
29%
26%
45%
73 77 4 0
10 Aug. 2025
BAN
Banga
2 - 0
FK Riteriai
TRA
46%
26%
27%
72 69 3 +1
04 Aug. 2025
BAN
Banga
1 - 0
Siauliai
FAS
32%
27%
42%
71 77 6 +1