Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
4º
3º
38
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
30% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
32.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
JEJ
1 - 3
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DAE
1 - 2
DCI
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
DCI
1 - 0
SUW
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
DCI
0 - 2
ULS
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
POH
0 - 3
DCI
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GWA
2 - 3
POH
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
GWA
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
GWA
3 - 0
VIS
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
VIS
2 - 0
GWA
58%
22%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
GWA
2 - 1
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |