Cynthia vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POM
2 - 0
CYN
55%
24%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CYN
0 - 0
ANZ
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CYN
0 - 0
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BUD
1 - 1
CYN
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AST
2 - 1
CYN
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FID
2 - 1
ARZ
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BAC
0 - 1
FID
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 0
FID
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |