Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 2
CWM
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 0
CWM
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRY
3 - 0
CWM
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 5
CWM
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
CWM
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAE
4 - 0
PEN
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 1
CAL
61%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
6 - 1
BRI
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 4
LID
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |