FAW Championship Gales South Round 29

Cwmbran Celtic vs Ammanford AFC analysis

Cwmbran Celtic Ammanford AFC
31 ELO 33
4.6% Tilt 4.9%
6860º General ELO ranking 5391º
50º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
47.2%
Cwmbran Celtic
21.3%
Draw
31.5%
Ammanford AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
Cwmbran Celtic
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.5%
Win probability
Ammanford AFC
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cwmbran Celtic
-43%
-15%
Ammanford AFC

ELO progression

Cwmbran Celtic
Ammanford AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cwmbran Celtic
Cwmbran Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2020
CAE
Caerau Ely
1 - 2
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
28%
22%
50%
30 23 7 0
21 Feb. 2020
CAM
Cambrian United
3 - 0
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
74%
15%
11%
31 44 13 -1
08 Feb. 2020
HAV
Haverfordwest County
2 - 2
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
85%
11%
4%
31 49 18 0
25 Jan. 2020
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
4 - 5
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
36%
22%
43%
33 36 3 -2
18 Jan. 2020
GOY
Goytre United
0 - 1
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
65%
18%
17%
31 37 6 +2

Matches

Ammanford AFC
Ammanford AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2020
STM
STM Sports
3 - 0
Ammanford AFC
AAF
69%
16%
14%
34 40 6 0
29 Feb. 2020
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 0
Afan Lido
LID
30%
20%
50%
33 38 5 +1
25 Feb. 2020
AAF
Ammanford AFC
0 - 3
Pontypridd United
PON
36%
22%
42%
34 39 5 -1
21 Feb. 2020
HAV
Haverfordwest County
2 - 0
Ammanford AFC
AAF
83%
12%
5%
34 49 15 0
14 Feb. 2020
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 5
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
42%
21%
38%
35 36 1 -1