FA Cup . 1/128
Global 4-2
Curzon Ashton vs Westfields analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 2
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WES
1 - 1
CUR
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 2
GAI
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
CUR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Westfields
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WES
1 - 1
CUR
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WES
2 - 1
LEI
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WES
4 - 0
WAL
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WES
4 - 2
HIU
56%
21%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WES
4 - 0
STI
35%
23%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +3 |