Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CUR
2 - 1
PRE
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WOS
0 - 0
CUR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
COL
0 - 1
CUR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CUR
3 - 1
FYL
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CUR
1 - 1
SKE
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
3 - 0
HAR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
LAN
23%
23%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
4 - 0
RAD
68%
18%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 3
GAR
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 1
CLI
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |