Curzon Ashton vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GAR
1 - 0
CUR
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CLI
2 - 1
CUR
26%
24%
49%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
UNM
3 - 2
CUR
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CUR
2 - 0
NBS
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
WAK
0 - 1
CUR
32%
26%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 1
WOS
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 3
CLI
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NBS
2 - 2
HAR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 0
BRA
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
HAR
0 - 3
CHO
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |