Curzon Ashton vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
CUR
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CUR
3 - 0
BRA
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 2
CUR
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 4
FYL
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 1
GLO
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GAT
1 - 0
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 3
SPE
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
BLY
2 - 2
GAT
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
2 - 3
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
0 - 1
KID
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |