Curzon Ashton vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
WAK
0 - 0
CUR
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
CUR
1 - 2
SKE
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 2
CUR
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CUR
6 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
7%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
CUR
0 - 2
UNM
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
CHO
3 - 1
MOS
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
SKE
7 - 0
CHO
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CHO
0 - 0
HAR
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CHO
1 - 3
NBS
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
UNM
2 - 1
CHO
72%
17%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |