Gold Cup CONCACAF Grupo C. Jor. 3

Curaçao vs Mexico analysis

Curaçao Mexico
50 ELO 92
-8.8% Tilt 1.4%
27915º General ELO ranking 54º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
5.6%
Curaçao
16.2%
Draw
78.2%
Mexico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
Curaçao
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.2%
78.2%
Win probability
Mexico
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Curaçao
-11%
-8%
Mexico

ELO progression

Curaçao
Mexico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Curaçao
Curaçao
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2017
SLV
El Salvador
2 - 0
Curaçao
CUW
72%
17%
11%
51 65 14 0
10 Jul. 2017
CUW
Curaçao
0 - 2
Jamaica
JAM
12%
21%
67%
51 75 24 0
26 Jun. 2017
JAM
Jamaica
1 - 2
Curaçao
CUW
75%
17%
8%
50 75 25 +1
23 Jun. 2017
CUW
Curaçao
2 - 1
Martinique
MTQ
17%
23%
60%
49 63 14 +1
18 Jun. 2017
CUW
Curaçao
0 - 0
Nicaragua
NIC
18%
20%
62%
48 59 11 +1

Matches

Mexico
Mexico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2017
MEX
Mexico
0 - 0
Jamaica
JAM
78%
15%
7%
92 75 17 0
10 Jul. 2017
MEX
Mexico
3 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
82%
14%
5%
92 65 27 0
02 Jul. 2017
MEX
Mexico
2 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
69%
20%
11%
92 85 7 0
02 Jul. 2017
PRT
Portugal
2 - 1
Mexico
MEX
47%
24%
29%
92 92 0 0
29 Jun. 2017
MEX
Mexico
1 - 0
Ghana
GHA
78%
16%
6%
92 81 11 0
X