Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
CUM
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 4
BSC
41%
25%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BSC
2 - 2
CUM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 0
STI
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 0
WHI
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
THE
2 - 0
GRE
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BER
3 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 3
KHE
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
GAL
0 - 2
GRE
45%
22%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
EDA
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |