Cumbayá vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 0
RIV
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EME
1 - 0
CFC
70%
19%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEL
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
UCE
19%
25%
57%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
3 - 0
OCT
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 0
ORE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
TEC
1 - 1
UCE
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 2
AUC
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |