Cullar Vega vs Costa Tropical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
58%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cullar Vega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
CUL
29%
23%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CUL
3 - 2
OTU
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
CUL
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
CUL
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 3
GAB
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ADF
3 - 1
CFV
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAB
2 - 3
ADF
36%
21%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADF
4 - 1
MON
71%
16%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ADF
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ADF
8 - 2
ALO
71%
15%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |