Cuiabá vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 0
CON
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 0
CUI
75%
18%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
CUI
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 1
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 1
OPE
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
COT
2 - 1
FOR
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
COT
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |