Torneo Águila Primera B Normal Season Round 3

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Fortaleza analysis

Cúcuta Deportivo Fortaleza
71 ELO 65
3.1% Tilt -0.4%
694º General ELO ranking 572º
21º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
60.5%
Cúcuta Deportivo
23.1%
Draw
16.4%
Fortaleza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
Cúcuta Deportivo
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.4%
Win probability
Fortaleza
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cúcuta Deportivo
-8%
+3%
Fortaleza

ELO progression

Cúcuta Deportivo
Fortaleza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2018
AFC
Atlético Fútbol Club
0 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
19%
22%
60%
69 56 13 0
20 Feb. 2018
BAR
Barranquilla
1 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
42%
27%
31%
69 69 0 0
13 Feb. 2018
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
3 - 1
Deportes Quindío
QUI
42%
27%
31%
67 71 4 +2
19 Nov. 2017
LEO
Leones
2 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
36%
25%
39%
67 66 1 0
17 Nov. 2017
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
2 - 2
Leones
LEO
46%
24%
30%
67 65 2 0

Matches

Fortaleza
Fortaleza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2018
FOR
Fortaleza
3 - 1
Deportivo Pereira
PER
24%
23%
53%
62 72 10 0
17 Feb. 2018
FOR
Fortaleza
1 - 1
Llaneros
LLA
33%
28%
40%
62 69 7 0
11 Feb. 2018
PER
Deportivo Pereira
1 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
61%
23%
15%
62 70 8 0
29 Oct. 2017
FOR
Fortaleza
1 - 0
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
31%
27%
42%
60 67 7 +2
23 Oct. 2017
REA
Real Santander
1 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
47%
27%
26%
60 58 2 0