BOL vs ZOB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
1º
37
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEM
2 - 4
BOL
23%
19%
58%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
HBO
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
4 - 1
BOL
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
VVM
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZOB
0 - 2
BOL
59%
20%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ZOB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 0
VVM
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
ZOB
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
4 - 1
NSC
43%
22%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 1
ZOB
37%
23%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZOB
0 - 2
BOL
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |