CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
TRE
3 - 0
CSP
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
CSP
0 - 1
SPB
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
CSP
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CSP
0 - 1
SPB
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
CSP
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
ECP
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PER
0 - 0
SOU
9%
15%
76%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
CAM
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
BOT
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |