CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
CSP
0 - 1
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CSP
0 - 3
CAM
40%
24%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 3
CSP
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
CSP
5 - 0
ECP
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 4
SOU
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 0
AUT
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 4
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ECP
2 - 0
SOU
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |