CSP vs Flamengo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
4 - 1
CSP
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
CSP
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
CSP
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
CSP
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSP
2 - 2
NAC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
NAC
18%
21%
62%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
AUT
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 4
CAM
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 56 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
PAR
16%
20%
65%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | +3 |