CSM Satu Mare vs Lotus Baile Felix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
3º
2º
27
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Satu Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CSM
42%
21%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CSM
4 - 3
BIH
12%
20%
67%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
CSM
26%
21%
54%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
CSM
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CSM
2 - 0
CFR
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lotus Baile Felix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BAI
2 - 2
BIS
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CFR
1 - 1
BAI
22%
21%
58%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BAI
1 - 1
SIM
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAI
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAI
2 - 1
VIC
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |