CSM Lugoj vs UTA Arad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
UTA
6 - 0
HUN
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 0
UTA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
UTA
1 - 0
INE
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
TII
1 - 2
UTA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UTA
5 - 3
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |