CSM Bacău vs Gloria Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
3º
3º
34
4º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CSM
1 - 1
TII
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CSM
3 - 1
ACS
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 1
CSM
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TII
4 - 0
CSM
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
CEA
0 - 3
CSM
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 4
ACS
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TII
2 - 3
RAP
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 1
CSM
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ACS
6 - 2
RAP
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
3 - 2
BUC
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |