CSKA Sofia vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
OFK
1 - 1
CSK
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
CSK
2 - 0
LSO
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 0
CSK
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 0
CSK
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CSK
2 - 1
ARK
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 3
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
4 - 0
ZOR
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 2
ROM
20%
21%
59%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |