Champions League . 1/16
Global 4-4
CSKA Sofia vs Omonia Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
7.6%
4.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
CSK
8 - 2
LPL
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
CSK
3 - 1
BVR
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
ETA
1 - 3
CSK
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
CSK
3 - 2
BOT
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
SSO
2 - 0
CSK
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
HJK
3 - 0
OMO
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
OMO
2 - 0
HJK
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
OMO
0 - 1
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 0
OMO
91%
6%
3%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
THO
4 - 0
OMO
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |