Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 0-6
CSKA Sofia vs Galatasaray SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
1 - 1
LOV
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SSO
2 - 4
CSK
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
3 - 0
CSK
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
2 - 1
NEF
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
1 - 0
PYU
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 2
GAL
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GAZ
1 - 2
GAL
33%
25%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
3 - 0
CSK
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 1
DIY
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 1
GAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |