CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
SSO
1 - 1
CSK
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1976 |
CSK
3 - 0
FKM
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1976 |
SLI
1 - 1
CSK
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
SSO
3 - 3
CSK
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
CSK
4 - 1
SLI
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
FKM
3 - 0
DUN
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
DUN
3 - 1
LSO
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1976 |
BER
2 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
LSO
2 - 2
DUN
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |