La Familia vs Congaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
4º
4º
24
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Familia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CLF
2 - 0
CSF
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CLF
0 - 5
FCS
7%
12%
82%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 1
CLF
23%
23%
55%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CLF
4 - 0
FCS
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
4 - 0
CLF
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -3 |
Matches
Congaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
STA
6 - 2
CON
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZIM
7 - 1
CON
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
COD
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
CSF
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAT
0 - 0
CON
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |