Csepel TC vs III. Kerületi TVE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
12º
10º
7
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
7 | 66 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 56 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 55 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 52 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 48 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 35 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 32 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
16º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
27.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Csepel TC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
HOD
4 - 2
CGF
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
CGF
2 - 0
ESM
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CGF
1 - 1
MON
17%
18%
65%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
BKV
0 - 1
CGF
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
CGF
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
III. Kerületi TVE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
III
1 - 2
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
TIS
1 - 3
III
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
VEC
1 - 2
III
9%
16%
75%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
III
2 - 1
BEK
90%
8%
3%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KEL
0 - 1
III
7%
16%
77%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |