Segunda Categoría - Ecuador 1/16
Global 1-0
Vargas Torres vs Toreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSV
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
PAT
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
CSV
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 1
MUS
8%
14%
79%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CDA
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSV
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 1
CDG
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CDG
2 - 1
TOR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |