Rayo Santa Cruz vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SEL
2 - 0
RSC
56%
23%
22%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
RSC
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 2
COL
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NOJ
0 - 2
RSC
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 2
VEL
10%
19%
72%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 1
VEL
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
SEL
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
VEL
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |