Macará vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIG
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LIG
3 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
OLM
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
4 - 4
QUI
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
1 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
OLM
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |