Macará vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
EME
3 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
MAC
4 - 0
BSC
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
IMB
2 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLM
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
CUE
2 - 1
MAC
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
IMB
2 - 2
DPT
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
DPT
1 - 1
IMB
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
IMB
2 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
IMB
0 - 0
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BSC
1 - 2
IMB
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |