Primera A 2 Phase LigaPro Ecuador Round 16

Macará vs CS Emelec analysis

Macará CS Emelec
65 ELO 81
1.5% Tilt -7.1%
668º General ELO ranking 738º
10º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
25.7%
Macará
28.2%
Draw
46.1%
CS Emelec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
Macará
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.1%
Win probability
CS Emelec
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-10%
-2%
CS Emelec

ELO progression

Macará
CS Emelec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2013
DEP
Deportivo Quevedo
1 - 0
Macará
MAC
44%
27%
29%
66 64 2 0
03 Oct. 2013
UCE
Universidad Católica
1 - 1
Macará
MAC
76%
16%
9%
66 79 13 0
29 Sep. 2013
MAC
Macará
1 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
29%
27%
45%
66 76 10 0
22 Sep. 2013
LDU
Liga de Quito
1 - 1
Macará
MAC
72%
19%
10%
66 79 13 0
15 Sep. 2013
MAC
Macará
1 - 3
Liga de Quito
LDU
31%
31%
38%
66 79 13 0

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2013
EME
CS Emelec
7 - 0
Universidad Católica
UCE
44%
27%
30%
80 79 1 0
03 Oct. 2013
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
39%
28%
33%
80 76 4 0
28 Sep. 2013
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Liga de Quito
LDU
51%
27%
22%
80 79 1 0
22 Sep. 2013
NAC
CD El Nacional
0 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
47%
26%
27%
79 76 3 +1
18 Sep. 2013
LDU
Liga de Quito
1 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
50%
26%
24%
79 79 0 0