Macará vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
UTC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
MAC
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TEC
1 - 0
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 0
LDU
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
LDU
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DPT
0 - 0
DEP
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |