Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 2
EME
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
CUE
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |