Macará vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
AUD
1 - 0
MAC
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
UCE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAC
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 2
TEC
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
LDU
1 - 2
MAC
21%
28%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 2
GRE
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
AUD
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BIH
0 - 0
GRE
76%
15%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
UCE
2 - 0
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAL
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |