Macará vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 0
CUE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
LIG
0 - 19
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 2
BSC
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 0
BSC
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
CUE
0 - 1
MAC
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
38%
30%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
52%
26%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2010 |
LIG
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
UCE
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |