Macará vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DPT
3 - 1
MAC
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 4
DPT
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAC
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 3
QUI
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
LDU
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
LDU
3 - 3
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 1
BAN
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAC
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |