Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
IVT
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 0
EME
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
CAU
2 - 0
IVT
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 2
IVT
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 0
AME
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
3 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 1
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UCE
2 - 1
DEL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BSC
1 - 2
UCE
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |