Primera A 1 Phase 1st Stage Round 6

Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica analysis

Independiente del Valle Universidad Católica
80 ELO 72
6% Tilt 1.4%
645º General ELO ranking 659º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.4%
Independiente del Valle
22%
Draw
18.7%
Universidad Católica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Independiente del Valle
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.7%
Win probability
Universidad Católica
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente del Valle
+33%
+11%
Universidad Católica

ELO progression

Independiente del Valle
Universidad Católica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2018
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
1 - 2
Independiente del Valle
IVT
27%
27%
47%
80 72 8 0
10 Mar. 2018
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
72%
18%
10%
80 67 13 0
03 Mar. 2018
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 0
Independiente del Valle
IVT
48%
25%
27%
80 80 0 0
24 Feb. 2018
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Aucas
AUC
62%
22%
16%
80 73 7 0
17 Feb. 2018
MAC
Macará
1 - 3
Independiente del Valle
IVT
39%
27%
34%
79 76 3 +1

Matches

Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2018
UCE
Universidad Católica
2 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
26%
25%
49%
72 81 9 0
10 Mar. 2018
TEC
Técnico Universitario
0 - 2
Universidad Católica
UCE
44%
25%
31%
71 70 1 +1
04 Mar. 2018
UCE
Universidad Católica
1 - 2
Liga de Quito
LDU
44%
27%
29%
71 75 4 0
24 Feb. 2018
UCE
Universidad Católica
3 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
45%
26%
29%
71 72 1 0
17 Feb. 2018
BSC
Barcelona SC
3 - 2
Universidad Católica
UCE
62%
22%
17%
71 80 9 0