Copa Libertadores qualifying Stage 2 Final
Global 6-3
Independiente del Valle vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 4
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
IVT
35%
25%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 0
MUS
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 1
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 0
IVT
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
IVT
35%
25%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CSL
4 - 1
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
UCH
3 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 4
UNI
34%
27%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |