Grecia vs Naranja Mekánica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
GRE
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATS
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
CUE
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |