Segunda Categoría - Ecuador . Last 16
Global 1-2
Unibolívar vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unibolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CDU
2 - 0
CBR
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CBR
0 - 2
CDU
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CDE
1 - 2
CDU
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 0
CDE
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CDU
2 - 1
CDB
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 2
FIJ
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
FIJ
0 - 1
CAL
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
CZA
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CZA
0 - 1
CAL
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
CSV
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |