CSC 03 Kassel vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
14º
18º
17º
4
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
13 | 70 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 66 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 64 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 60 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 57 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 55 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 51 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 50 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 41 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 31 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 30 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 30 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
18º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
65% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSC 03 Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
RWW
2 - 4
CSK
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 0
BAU
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 6
HUN
23%
23%
53%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
DAR
5 - 0
CSK
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 2
MAR
19%
18%
63%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
HUN
2 - 1
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
FER
1 - 1
WAL
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
FER
5 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
BAU
2 - 1
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FER
0 - 2
EIN
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |