CSA vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 2
VAS
32%
28%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
0 - 2
CSA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
GOI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 3
CSA
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
PPE
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
GOI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |