CSA vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSA
11%
22%
67%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
13%
23%
64%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 3
CRB
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
CSA
8%
17%
75%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 0
COR
83%
13%
4%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
ASA
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEN
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
CSE
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
CRB
8%
18%
75%
|
38 | 80 | 42 | 0 |