CSA vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
CSA
44%
28%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
CEO
51%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
IPA
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |